hanley at #10, zack's #1... and our future 2b at #2 10 guys facing the most pressure in 2013By David Schoenfield | ESPN.com March, 4, 2013 | 1:40 PM ETDoes pressure exist in baseball? We've made heroes and goats of those who performed -- or didn't perform -- in the game's biggest moments. But those are usually isolated snippets of time in a postseason game, when the results of one at-bat or a few games serves to define your character (fairly or not). Pressure in the regular season is different; it's more about external expectations and a player's importance to his club. Some players thrive under that spotlight; some pretend it doesn't exist. Tommy Lasorda put it another way: "Pressure is a word that is misused in our vocabulary. When you start thinking of pressure, it's because you've started to think of failure." For the most part, major leaguers are oblivious to pressure because they are good; they expect success, not failure. But that doesn't mean pressure isn't out there in some form. For example, did Albert Pujols struggle last April because of the pressure of his new contract? It's certainly possible. Here are the 10 guys I would suggest are facing the most pressure this season. 10. Hanley Ramirez, Los Angeles Dodgers The Marlins moved Ramirez off shortstop not just because they signed Jose Reyes a year ago but because they also believed Ramirez no longer had the range required to play the position. The defensive metrics back up that assertion -- minus-39 defensive runs saved over the three seasons, in what amounts to about two years' worth of innings at shortstop -- but Ramirez wants to play short and that's where he'll open the season. After hitting .313 over his first five seasons, Ramirez also has to show there's some potency left in his bat after hitting just .252 over the past two seasons. 9. Jose Bautista, Toronto Blue Jays It's easier to be the big man on campus when winning results are hoped for more than assumed. But now that the Blue Jays are expected to be relevant, the spotlight will shine more intensely on Bautista. Is he the guy to carry a Jays team that many believe can -- or should -- reach the World Series? He's reportedly healthy after last year's wrist injury, but he has to prove he can come closer to 2011's monster numbers (.302/.447/.608, 43 home runs) than 2012's more pedestrian ones (.241/.358/.527). 8. Adam Wainwright, St. Louis Cardinals The pressure on Wainwright won't come from a heavy-handed local media or fan base with unrealistic demands, but from the knowledge that Kyle Lohse won't be here and Chris Carpenter's career may be over. With young pitchers like Shelby Miller, Trevor Rosenthal and Joe Kelly battling for the starting rotation, the mantle of staff leader falls on Wainwright's shoulders -- and surgically repaired right elbow. He obviously had a positive return from Tommy John surgery a year ago (14-13, 3.94 ERA), but it's important to note it wasn't really that great of a year -- his ERA ranked just 31st among qualified National League starters. But a strong second half has many believing Wainwright can return to his pre-injury Cy Young contender status. continued... __
2-of-2... 7. Jacoby Ellsbury, Boston Red Sox The Red Sox spent enough money in the offseason -- Ryan Dempster, Shane Victorino, Mike Napoli, Stephen Drew, Koji Uehara, Jonny Gomes -- that club officials certainly expect a rebound from last season's disaster and return to contender status. To do that, however, they'll need a year like Ellsbury gave them in 2011, when he hit .321 with 32 home runs and finished second in the MVP vote. Ellsbury hasn't hit more than nine homers in any other season, so as an impending free agent he's also looking to earn a mega-payday by showing that power spike wasn't a fluke. 6. Evan Longoria, Tampa Bay Rays As always, there's a lot of pressure on Longoria to lead a Tampa offense that isn't going to scare a lot of opponents. Aside from that, he has to prove he can stay healthy after missing significant chunks of action the past two years -- and rejoin that discussion of being one of the top five players in baseball -- and show that $100 million extension the Rays gave him in the offseason wasn't a mistake. 5. Adrian Beltre, Texas Rangers With no Josh Hamilton and veteran leader Michael Young jettisoned to Philly, this is now Beltre's team, so to speak. He's the star of the Rangers' show and with that comes the pressure to carry a lineup that scored 47 fewer runs in 2012 than it did in 2011. Beltre hit .321 with 36 home runs, but he turns 34 in April, that precarious age when decline often starts setting in. 4. Josh Hamilton, Los Angeles Angels Speaking of Hamilton, when you leave a winning franchise to sign a $125 million deal with your former team's biggest rival, yeah, I'd say the intensity of expectations will be pretty high. Will the money affect him? How will he hit outside of Texas? What was up with all the strikeouts last year? Sure, it helps having Pujols and Mike Trout around to help carry the offensive burden, but Pujols' struggles suggest pressure to live up to a huge contract can arguably affect even the biggest stars. Anything short of Hamilton helping lead the Angels to a division title will be considered a disappointment. 3. Justin Upton, Atlanta Braves Considering the months of trade rumors surrounding Upton -- and then everybody saying the Braves stole him from the Diamondbacks -- he has to show he was worth all the hype. He's hit .307 with a .937 OPS in Arizona in his career, .250 with a .731 OPS on the road. Did the Braves trade for a guy who was an MVP candidate in 2011 or merely a good, but inconsistent, player? 2. Robinson Cano, New York Yankees No Nick Swisher. No Russell Martin. No Curtis Granderson for April. No Alex Rodriguez for who knows how long. A declining Mark Teixeira and an aging Derek Jeter trying to return from a broken ankle. Two outfielders in Ichiro Suzuki and Brett Gardner with little power. Oh, yeah, you're also playing in the toughest media market in the sport, coming off a postseason in which you hit .075 and playing for a huge contract as an impending free agent. Enjoy the season, Mr. Cano. 1. Zack Greinke, Los Angeles Dodgers When you admit you signed with the Dodgers because of the hefty paycheck ($147 million over six years) it's not just a refreshing bit of honesty (although I respect him for saying it). With that comment, Greinke put the bull's-eye on himself. Heck, Dodgers management believes they're starting a dynasty here; they already have Clayton Kershaw and Matt Kemp, but it's Greinke -- a guy with a 3.83 ERA over the past three seasons -- with the most pressure on the team. __
Kinda agree with you in a sense. ERA is kind of like dry audio. Unprocessed. It spits out what ultimately happens when he pitches. It doesn't tinker, adjust, or modify. When he pitches, a little under 4 runs are gonna cross the plate over 9 innings. ERA doesn't take important things to account (because it doesn't take anything into account), but it's a bottom line. It's not indicative of individual skills or talent (it's not gonna tell you K/9, K:BB, opponents BA, etc...it won't tell you how deadly his slider is) but IMO, over enough time, it might tell you what you're gonna get. His expected earned run average is one of the best in the league. One would assume they could take his independent pitching and determine his bottom line will naturally improve. The runs that cross the plate just kinda 'happened'. Greinke strikes guys out and has some electric stuff. But hasn't he been in the league long enough where we can look at the bottom line? When is his independent performance going to prevent the opposing team's cleats from touching home plate more often? Greinke has innings where he just completely loses it. I don't watch him enough to know why. I'm not going to go search what his toughest inning is, his pitch tendancies in each situation, etc. But he has blow up innings. And that's probably a big reason his ERA isn't as good as his expected ERA. I'm not ripping the guy. Just thinking out loud here. 1) Do I think he's worth 147 M? Not close. But he was a free agent and that's what happens. I'll get to that. 2) Would I sign Greinke to the same deal again: Probably, YES 3) Am I down on him: NO 4) Do think he is going to be good for us: YES 5) Is he an excellent pitcher: Absolutely Overrated is an overrated term. And I'm not sure it fits with Greinke. Because when I get a chance to watch him pitch and fish through his stats, it's clear he's terrific. BUT. He's close to being in that category. He's on the fringe and this contract will tell everybody. Personally, I think he'll do a good job. 147 million is just the number it took to get him on our team. If we measure his performance penny for penny we are already setting ourselves up for disappointment. With that aside, the dude is a first class douche. A jerk. I know some people like that about him. It's 'Badass' to some people. I personally just think he's an A-hole. I'm glad he's on my team because he can pitch, but I definitely don't admire him in the slightest. Can't stand him.
