What are the odds Matt Kemp out-WAR's Hanley the next 5 years - 50% What are the odds Zack Greinke is a Dodger in 2016 - 75% What are the odds Dee Gordon is a 2.5 win 2B in 2015 - 40% What are the odds Crawford has a higher WAR than Ethier in 2015 - 95%
What are the odds Matt Kemp out-WAR's Hanley the next 5 years- 40%. I think if Hanley can move to 3rd and stay on the field more than ~130 games a year he does it pretty easy. Kemp in RF isn't as bad as the metrics indicate but regardless it's probably going to be close. What are the odds Zack Greinke is a Dodger in 2016- 90% What are the odds Dee Gordon is a 2.5 win 2B in 2015- 70% What are the odds Crawford has a higher WAR than Ethier in 2015- 100%
I think Kemp will slightly out produce Hanley for 5 year period. I'll say 55% Greinke I'll say 60%. Hell opt out if given the chance but I could see a renegotiation to keep him. Lots of good pitchers possibly for next winter but price is gonna rise and rise. I also think Greinke will go for most money available without sentimental value. It's what brought him to the Dodgers to begin with so can't get mad I'll say 30% with Dee. I think he's a 2 win player cause I think they'll platoon him hard and he will be solid but not elite. 2 win player out of Dee is still cool though I say 80% CC out WARs Andre cause of defense and playing time. CC maybe hits better then him but he has other factors to make him way more of an everyday LF then Andre. The 20% is the possibility CC hits the DL all year
Assuming Mattingly's replacement is a chimpanzee, what are the odds of him posting a positive WAR? 0%
The reason I brougt up the Ethier v Crawford thing is it seems like Crawford might have more trade interest, while I'm not entirely sure he's better just based on one season. I'd be fine with dealing him and giving Ethier LF, and using Joc if he sucks again.
I think they could hold on to Ethier cause is his value from now Til June really gonna drop? Some team right now ain't giving shit for him. Why not wait a month or two, see if last year was an Anamoly or a trend If he sucks well you're in the same place as right now. Look at CC. He was pure dog shit but he got hot for 2 months Outta nowhere and now maaayybbbe a team wants him
A problem I see with keeping Andre is that Kemp having to start the season in RF then move to LF might cause him to black out again out of hysteria. And it would be nice for Puig to focus on one position to really get it down and if he's gonna play CF he needs work there but then to have him quickly move to RF for Joc might be weird
What are the odds Erisbel Arru whatever has an OPS above .600 in a good amount of PA's? Odds Dan Haren is our #4 starter going into the year? Odds Brandon league is a Dodger in August 2015?
What are the odds Erisbel Arru whatever has an OPS above .600 in a good amount of PA's? 85% I'll say it's over, but not by a whole lot Odds Dan Haren is our #4 starter going into the year? 5% We'll definitely sign a SP, whether it's a big name or a low risk/high reward guy, I'm not sure. Haren will be our 5 Odds Brandon league is a Dodger in August 2015? 100%
one is uneducated, doesn't interact well with humans, throws its shit at people and lives outdoors the other one is a chimp
What are the odds Erisbel Arru whatever has an OPS above .600 in a good amount of PA's? 90% Odds Dan Haren is our #4 starter going into the year? 40% Odds Brandon league is a Dodger in August 2015? 95%
how much is a good amount of PA? if we talkin like +250 I say like 90%. I think he's better than people give him cred for
250 is a good benchmark. I was too lazy to think of a good number. Yeah Erisbel is weird to gauge for me.
